A simple, focused dashboard for watching public sentiment and macro context side‑by‑side—and a quick same‑day forecast for major indices (SPY/DIA). No fluff.
An interactive list of the signals used, with plain‑English definitions and the latest reading:
- News Sentiment (from major RSS headlines)
- Reddit Sentiment (from a few finance subreddits)
- Google Trends (simple week‑over‑week z‑scores for macro terms)
- ISM Manufacturing PMI and Consumer Confidence
Click any item to expand and see what it means and how it’s derived.
Quick tiles that summarize today’s inputs:
- Reddit net sentiment
- Trends (inflation) z‑score
- PMI distance from neutral (50)
- Consumer Confidence level
These are the building blocks behind the forecast below.
A compact view of what today might look like using only public signals:
- Probability the index closes higher (“Prob up”)
- Expected move (open → close)
- Two rough ranges (50% and 80%)
- Top drivers with their push/pull
There’s also a short narrative that summarizes the overall tilt and drivers at a glance.
- Skim the Daily Features to get a feel for the day’s backdrop.
- Read the Forecast’s “Prob up”, expected move, and ranges for a quick baseline.
- Expand items in the Glossary whenever you want more context on a signal.